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Red54
307028.0
129421.8
189913.3
Blue50
446917.3
445021.6
88961.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49350102030406070805450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.2
17.117.3
Auto11.8
Teleop14.5
End1.8
red by 6.5
4450
#14
21.60.2
18.818.5
Auto6.3
Teleop14.3
End1.0
Second
21.80.2
12.012.1
Auto9.0
Teleop12.3
End0.5
red by 4.5
4469
#13
17.30.4
10.29.8
Auto4.0
Teleop11.6
End1.8
Third
1899
#22
13.30.2
13.613.7
Auto4.2
Teleop7.7
End1.4
red by 12.3
8896
#35
1.00.4
4.54.1
Auto1.7
Teleop-1.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed34%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned