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Red49
29062.3
48821.7
446917.3
Blue21
29294.6
558812.9
37863.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32200104050604921

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
488
#4
21.72.4
15.217.6
Auto9.2
Teleop11.8
End0.8
red by 8.8
5588
#23
12.90.1
10.610.7
Auto6.6
Teleop5.1
End1.3
Second
4469
#13
17.32.4
9.812.2
Auto4.0
Teleop11.6
End1.8
red by 12.7
2929
#29
4.60.1
5.25.4
Auto4.1
Teleop1.0
End-0.5
Third
2906
#34
2.32.4
2.65.0
Auto0.2
Teleop1.7
End0.4
blue by 1.0
3786
#28
3.30.1
4.04.1
Auto3.3
Teleop-0.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed