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Red37
45794.7
37863.3
214715.7
Blue11
29274.3
297614.9
29077.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions243201020405060703711

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2147
#18
15.70.2
12.112.3
Auto3.3
Teleop11.2
End1.2
red by 0.8
2976
#30
14.91.8
13.611.8
Auto7.6
Teleop6.3
End1.0
Second
4579
#31
4.70.2
6.36.5
Auto2.2
Teleop2.2
End0.3
blue by 2.3
2907
#26
7.01.8
7.96.1
Auto2.6
Teleop4.0
End0.4
Third
3786
#28
3.30.2
4.54.7
Auto3.3
Teleop-0.8
End0.8
blue by 1.0
2927
#27
4.31.9
6.84.9
Auto0.5
Teleop3.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed