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Red34
35882.3
445021.6
387610.1
Blue52
292816.8
805112.7
198323.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31490204060803452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4450
#14
21.60.3
19.119.3
Auto6.3
Teleop14.3
End1.0
blue by 1.8
1983
#15
23.41.0
18.919.9
Auto11.5
Teleop9.6
End2.3
Second
3876
#10
10.10.4
8.58.9
Auto3.3
Teleop5.4
End1.4
blue by 6.7
16.81.1
13.714.7
Auto4.2
Teleop11.6
End1.0
Third
3588
#32
2.30.3
2.52.8
Auto1.2
Teleop0.3
End0.7
blue by 10.4
8051
#16
12.71.1
9.210.2
Auto2.2
Teleop8.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed