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Red53
129421.8
902310.3
83034.8
Blue32
214715.7
29294.6
94468.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2828102040505332

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.82.2
17.820.0
Auto9.0
Teleop12.3
End0.5
red by 6.1
2147
#18
15.70.2
12.312.5
Auto3.3
Teleop11.2
End1.2
Second
9023
#12
10.32.2
6.38.4
Auto6.6
Teleop3.2
End0.5
red by 1.6
8.70.2
7.98.1
Auto3.2
Teleop4.6
End0.9
Third
8303
#24
4.82.2
1.53.7
Auto2.1
Teleop1.9
End0.8
red by 0.2
2929
#29
4.60.2
4.95.1
Auto4.1
Teleop1.0
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed