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Red45
29077.0
366327.8
88961.0
Blue60
83028.5
307028.0
29038.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374202060804560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.81.1
27.328.4
Auto10.6
Teleop15.3
End1.9
blue by 0.3
28.01.2
24.926.1
Auto11.8
Teleop14.5
End1.8
Second
2907
#26
7.01.1
6.17.2
Auto2.6
Teleop4.0
End0.4
blue by 1.6
8302
#20
8.51.3
9.310.5
Auto2.1
Teleop5.2
End1.2
Third
8896
#35
1.01.1
0.51.6
Auto1.7
Teleop-1.4
End0.6
blue by 7.2
2903
#17
8.20.8
3.64.4
Auto2.7
Teleop4.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsEarned