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Red20
387610.1
88961.0
189913.3
Blue4
29077.0
29062.3
83028.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24250102030405060204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1899
#22
13.30.2
11.111.0
Auto4.2
Teleop7.7
End1.4
red by 4.8
8302
#20
8.51.8
10.58.7
Auto2.1
Teleop5.2
End1.2
Second
3876
#10
10.10.2
8.98.8
Auto3.3
Teleop5.4
End1.4
red by 3.2
2907
#26
7.01.7
7.25.5
Auto2.6
Teleop4.0
End0.4
Third
8896
#35
1.00.1
1.61.4
Auto1.7
Teleop-1.4
End0.6
blue by 1.4
2906
#34
2.31.8
5.03.2
Auto0.2
Teleop1.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed