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Red59
307028.0
49118.2
83034.8
Blue57
387610.1
568310.5
29274.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4321060805957

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.01.4
26.628.1
Auto11.8
Teleop14.5
End1.8
red by 17.5
5683
#19
10.50.8
10.311.1
Auto5.3
Teleop4.1
End1.1
Second
4911
#21
8.21.4
6.17.6
Auto3.8
Teleop3.4
End1.1
blue by 1.9
3876
#10
10.10.8
8.29.1
Auto3.3
Teleop5.4
End1.4
Third
8303
#24
4.81.3
3.54.8
Auto2.1
Teleop1.9
End0.8
red by 0.5
2927
#27
4.30.9
3.44.3
Auto0.5
Teleop3.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsEarned