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Red0
33935.0
29062.3
29294.6
Blue38
35882.3
29077.0
307028.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24340406080038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3393
#33
5.02.5
9.77.2
Auto2.9
Teleop1.3
End0.8
blue by 23.0
28.00.9
16.217.1
Auto11.8
Teleop14.5
End1.8
Second
2929
#29
4.62.5
7.04.5
Auto4.1
Teleop1.0
End-0.5
blue by 2.3
2907
#26
7.00.9
10.010.9
Auto2.6
Teleop4.0
End0.4
Third
2906
#34
2.32.5
6.03.5
Auto0.2
Teleop1.7
End0.4
red by 0.1
3588
#32
2.30.5
3.54.1
Auto1.2
Teleop0.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed