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Red38
129418.3
451212.4
408913.5
Blue47
29769.9
241217.8
451320.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions655302040801001201403847

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1294
#29
18.31.3
27.125.8
Auto8.0
Teleop9.7
End0.6
blue by 1.9
20.10.2
14.013.9
Auto9.9
Teleop9.4
End0.8
Second
4089
#13
13.51.3
18.116.8
Auto3.6
Teleop7.7
End2.2
blue by 4.3
2412
#24
17.80.2
20.920.7
Auto7.8
Teleop9.5
End0.5
Third
4512
#18
12.41.3
12.511.2
Auto5.8
Teleop6.5
End0.1
red by 2.5
2976
#15
9.90.2
14.814.6
Auto6.9
Teleop3.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed