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Red24
99993.8
408913.5
74618.1
Blue89
299012.9
366336.8
762723.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions457202060801001201402489

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4089
#13
13.51.3
16.615.4
Auto3.6
Teleop7.7
End2.2
blue by 23.3
36.81.5
30.431.9
Auto15.1
Teleop20.0
End1.6
Second
7461
#30
8.11.3
16.114.9
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End0.3
blue by 15.3
23.41.5
18.219.7
Auto7.8
Teleop12.6
End2.9
Third
9999
#32
3.82.1
5.23.1
Auto2.0
Teleop2.0
End-0.1
blue by 9.0
2990
#25
12.91.5
13.214.7
Auto4.3
Teleop7.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed57%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed34%Ensemble oddsMissed