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Red18
594111.9
99946.8
298010.8
Blue54
9988-1.1
131837.2
292820.7
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30710204060801001201401854

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5941
#28
11.90.9
12.511.6
Auto4.9
Teleop5.6
End1.4
blue by 25.3
37.20.4
36.536.1
Auto11.9
Teleop20.2
End5.1
Second
2980
#33
10.80.9
15.214.3
Auto4.3
Teleop3.6
End2.9
blue by 9.9
2928
#11
20.70.4
17.216.8
Auto7.9
Teleop11.8
End1.0
Third
9994
#23
6.81.4
3.21.8
Auto5.4
Teleop1.4
End0.1
red by 7.9
9988
#34
-1.10.7
6.76.0
Auto0.3
Teleop-1.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed65%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed