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Red69
945016.8
418021.5
292820.7
Blue117
366336.8
408913.5
212226.2
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4395015020069117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4180
#19
21.50.9
18.419.3
Auto11.3
Teleop8.4
End1.8
blue by 15.3
36.81.0
34.835.9
Auto15.1
Teleop20.0
End1.6
Second
2928
#11
20.70.9
16.817.7
Auto7.9
Teleop11.8
End1.0
blue by 5.5
2122
#16
26.21.0
30.531.6
Auto9.2
Teleop14.4
End2.7
Third
9450
#17
16.80.9
10.411.3
Auto8.0
Teleop7.3
End1.6
red by 3.4
4089
#13
13.51.0
16.017.0
Auto3.6
Teleop7.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsEarned76%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed76%Ensemble oddsMissed