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Red54
177828.5
29769.9
366336.8
Blue23
189920.5
999813.5
74618.1
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99370501502005423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.81.9
35.934.0
Auto15.1
Teleop20.0
End1.6
red by 16.3
20.51.1
22.221.1
Auto9.7
Teleop9.9
End0.9
Second
1778
#21
28.51.9
34.532.6
Auto8.6
Teleop16.7
End3.2
red by 15.0
9998
#14
13.51.9
8.26.3
Auto5.1
Teleop7.5
End0.9
Third
2976
#15
9.91.9
12.710.8
Auto6.9
Teleop3.0
End0.1
red by 1.8
7461
#30
8.11.1
9.88.6
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
87%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
33%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed