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Red45
592011.6
999813.5
639018.4
Blue46
74618.1
298010.8
129418.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383701020305060704546

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6390
#12
18.41.2
9.110.4
Auto7.7
Teleop9.6
End1.1
red by 0.1
1294
#29
18.30.0
17.717.8
Auto8.0
Teleop9.7
End0.6
Second
9998
#14
13.51.8
5.97.7
Auto5.1
Teleop7.5
End0.9
red by 2.8
2980
#33
10.80.0
14.314.3
Auto4.3
Teleop3.6
End2.9
Third
5920
#27
11.61.2
11.512.7
Auto5.4
Teleop4.6
End1.7
red by 3.6
7461
#30
8.10.0
8.68.7
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsEarned25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed