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Red80
366336.8
451320.1
129418.3
Blue55
594111.9
762723.4
212226.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions747102040601001201408055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.80.8
34.034.8
Auto15.1
Teleop20.0
End1.6
red by 10.5
2122
#16
26.20.7
30.029.4
Auto9.2
Teleop14.4
End2.7
Second
20.10.8
15.616.4
Auto9.9
Teleop9.4
End0.8
blue by 3.3
23.40.7
23.122.4
Auto7.8
Teleop12.6
End2.9
Third
1294
#29
18.30.8
17.818.6
Auto8.0
Teleop9.7
End0.6
red by 6.3
5941
#28
11.90.7
11.811.2
Auto4.9
Teleop5.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsEarned77%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed30%Ensemble oddsMissed