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Red43
299012.9
999813.5
99946.8
Blue101
639018.4
451320.1
945016.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2645020608010012043101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9998
#14
13.51.7
7.79.3
Auto5.1
Teleop7.5
End0.9
blue by 6.6
20.13.4
16.419.9
Auto9.9
Teleop9.4
End0.8
Second
2990
#25
12.91.3
11.612.9
Auto4.3
Teleop7.0
End1.6
blue by 5.5
6390
#12
18.43.4
10.413.8
Auto7.7
Teleop9.6
End1.1
Third
9994
#23
6.81.7
4.96.6
Auto5.4
Teleop1.4
End0.1
blue by 10.0
9450
#17
16.83.4
12.716.1
Auto8.0
Teleop7.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed