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Red18
413111.2
29769.9
9988-1.1
Blue92
594111.9
131837.2
177828.5
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions148904060801001201401601892

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4131
#20
11.20.1
11.511.4
Auto6.0
Teleop4.2
End1.0
blue by 26.0
37.20.6
33.233.8
Auto11.9
Teleop20.2
End5.1
Second
2976
#15
9.90.1
9.69.4
Auto6.9
Teleop3.0
End0.1
blue by 18.6
1778
#21
28.50.6
28.128.8
Auto8.6
Teleop16.7
End3.2
Third
9988
#34
-1.10.1
-1.5-1.6
Auto0.3
Teleop-1.8
End0.4
blue by 13.0
5941
#28
11.90.6
11.211.8
Auto4.9
Teleop5.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed79%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed35%Ensemble oddsEarned