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Red70
189920.5
903623.4
129418.3
Blue83
945016.8
451320.1
321823.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66664050607080901007083

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9036
#10
23.40.0
23.323.3
Auto7.7
Teleop13.7
End2.0
Level
23.40.4
22.623.0
Auto8.3
Teleop14.1
End1.0
Second
20.50.0
20.420.3
Auto9.7
Teleop9.9
End0.9
red by 0.4
20.10.4
19.319.7
Auto9.9
Teleop9.4
End0.8
Third
1294
#29
18.30.0
18.118.1
Auto8.0
Teleop9.7
End0.6
red by 1.4
9450
#17
16.80.4
16.016.4
Auto8.0
Teleop7.3
End1.6