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Red100
446922.1
177835.6
293026.5
Blue28
83028.1
95817.0
944615.0
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76220406010012010028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.62.2
26.228.4
Auto14.0
Teleop18.6
End3.0
red by 20.6
15.00.1
8.78.8
Auto5.0
Teleop9.0
End1.1
Second
2930
#10
26.52.2
18.921.1
Auto13.1
Teleop12.5
End0.9
red by 18.4
8302
#32
8.10.1
8.58.7
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End0.8
Third
4469
#12
22.12.2
17.319.5
Auto6.3
Teleop13.9
End2.0
red by 15.1
9581
#27DQ
7.02.3
7.09.3
Auto3.3
Teleop3.6
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed