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Red89
762719.3
33930.9
252230.4
Blue36
29075.5
321911.0
593716.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52280204060801008936

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2522
#13
30.40.7
24.625.2
Auto11.3
Teleop17.6
End1.4
red by 14.4
5937
#15
16.00.2
10.410.6
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End2.7
Second
7627
#17
19.30.7
14.715.3
Auto5.7
Teleop11.8
End1.9
red by 8.3
3219
#31
11.00.2
11.311.5
Auto4.1
Teleop5.9
End1.1
Third
3393
#30
0.90.7
5.05.7
Auto1.4
Teleop-1.0
End0.5
blue by 4.6
2907
#35
5.50.2
7.07.1
Auto3.2
Teleop2.4
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsEarned5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed