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Red42
83033.8
204634.4
304913.9
Blue108
293026.5
593716.0
291042.3
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5677204010012042108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.40.8
33.432.6
Auto9.6
Teleop20.7
End4.1
blue by 7.9
42.32.4
32.735.1
Auto13.4
Teleop28.6
End0.2
Second
3049
#25
13.90.8
15.014.2
Auto3.4
Teleop7.8
End2.8
blue by 12.6
2930
#10
26.52.4
21.123.5
Auto13.1
Teleop12.5
End0.9
Third
8303
#34
3.80.8
4.94.2
Auto2.1
Teleop0.7
End1.0
blue by 12.1
5937
#15
16.02.4
13.415.8
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsMissed62%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
42%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed