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Red52
944615.0
803216.5
321819.1
Blue44
83028.1
255724.3
63509.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49442060801005244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.10.6
14.915.5
Auto4.9
Teleop12.9
End1.3
blue by 5.2
2557
#14
24.30.3
25.625.8
Auto7.1
Teleop14.0
End3.1
Second
8032
#24
16.50.6
15.616.1
Auto6.2
Teleop8.0
End2.3
red by 7.3
6350
#26
9.10.3
7.17.3
Auto2.6
Teleop4.8
End1.7
Third
15.00.6
12.913.5
Auto5.0
Teleop9.0
End1.1
red by 6.9
8302
#32
8.10.3
7.47.7
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsEarned25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed