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Red31
298013.6
29075.5
451213.8
Blue14
321911.0
95817.0
29297.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions392602060801003114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.80.5
12.011.5
Auto5.9
Teleop7.6
End0.3
red by 2.8
3219
#31
11.00.8
11.410.6
Auto4.1
Teleop5.9
End1.1
Second
2980
#28
13.60.5
16.916.4
Auto4.7
Teleop6.3
End2.6
red by 6.2
2929
#19
7.40.8
7.76.9
Auto3.8
Teleop2.8
End0.8
Third
2907
#35
5.50.5
4.54.0
Auto3.2
Teleop2.4
End-0.0
blue by 1.5
9581
#27
7.01.3
5.54.2
Auto3.3
Teleop3.6
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed37%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed