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Red43
446922.1
45795.0
95817.0
Blue19
382617.5
83033.8
63509.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393101020506070804319

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4469
#12
22.10.1
20.320.2
Auto6.3
Teleop13.9
End2.0
red by 4.6
17.50.7
16.515.8
Auto7.1
Teleop9.3
End1.1
Second
9581
#27
7.00.1
6.26.2
Auto3.3
Teleop3.6
End0.1
blue by 2.1
6350
#26
9.10.7
8.78.0
Auto2.6
Teleop4.8
End1.7
Third
4579
#23
5.00.1
7.57.5
Auto2.6
Teleop1.8
End0.6
red by 1.2
8303
#34
3.80.7
4.03.3
Auto2.1
Teleop0.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed