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Red96
321819.1
382617.5
177835.6
Blue61
293026.5
762719.3
95817.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions765102040601001201409661

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.61.3
34.335.7
Auto14.0
Teleop18.6
End3.0
red by 9.0
2930
#10
26.50.8
24.325.1
Auto13.1
Teleop12.5
End0.9
Second
19.11.3
15.917.2
Auto4.9
Teleop12.9
End1.3
blue by 0.2
7627
#17
19.30.8
18.919.7
Auto5.7
Teleop11.8
End1.9
Third
17.51.3
15.817.2
Auto7.1
Teleop9.3
End1.1
red by 10.5
9581
#27
7.00.9
6.27.1
Auto3.3
Teleop3.6
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
84%Melody oddsEarned44%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed