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Red22
298013.6
33930.9
255724.3
Blue71
446922.1
451213.8
468220.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4559020801001202271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2557
#14
24.31.4
24.723.4
Auto7.1
Teleop14.0
End3.1
red by 2.2
4469
#12
22.10.6
20.220.8
Auto6.3
Teleop13.9
End2.0
Second
2980
#28
13.61.4
15.614.2
Auto4.7
Teleop6.3
End2.6
blue by 6.4
4682
#18
20.00.6
18.619.3
Auto9.5
Teleop9.9
End0.6
Third
3393
#30
0.91.4
2.30.9
Auto1.4
Teleop-1.0
End0.5
blue by 12.9
13.80.6
12.813.4
Auto5.9
Teleop7.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsMissed64%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed