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Red69
491114.3
252230.4
83028.1
Blue71
37864.5
366335.6
29064.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5346204060801006971

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2522
#13
30.41.1
27.828.9
Auto11.3
Teleop17.6
End1.4
blue by 5.2
35.60.6
34.234.8
Auto15.8
Teleop18.4
End1.3
Second
4911
#20
14.31.1
10.912.0
Auto6.4
Teleop7.3
End0.6
red by 9.7
2906
#33
4.60.6
4.14.7
Auto2.0
Teleop2.4
End0.2
Third
8302
#32
8.11.1
8.39.4
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End0.8
red by 3.6
3786
#29
4.50.6
4.04.6
Auto3.4
Teleop1.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsEarned28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned