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Red89
321819.1
491114.3
252230.4
Blue41
568312.8
803216.5
446922.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6750204060801001208941

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2522
#13
30.41.1
28.930.0
Auto11.3
Teleop17.6
End1.4
red by 8.3
4469
#12
22.10.4
20.820.4
Auto6.3
Teleop13.9
End2.0
Second
19.11.1
17.218.3
Auto4.9
Teleop12.9
End1.3
red by 2.6
8032
#24
16.50.4
15.214.7
Auto6.2
Teleop8.0
End2.3
Third
4911
#20
14.31.1
12.013.1
Auto6.4
Teleop7.3
End0.6
red by 1.5
5683
#22
12.80.4
11.411.0
Auto5.2
Teleop6.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsEarned41%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed