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Red44
29075.5
252230.4
491519.7
Blue51
568312.8
382617.5
944615.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50350204060801004451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2522
#13
30.40.0
25.225.2
Auto11.3
Teleop17.6
End1.4
red by 12.9
17.51.0
13.714.7
Auto7.1
Teleop9.3
End1.1
Second
4915
#11
19.70.0
11.211.2
Auto5.5
Teleop12.1
End2.1
red by 4.7
15.01.0
8.89.9
Auto5.0
Teleop9.0
End1.1
Third
2907
#35
5.50.0
7.17.2
Auto3.2
Teleop2.4
End-0.0
blue by 7.3
5683
#22
12.81.0
10.911.9
Auto5.2
Teleop6.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed