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Red71
803216.5
468220.0
446922.1
Blue41
593716.0
293026.5
382617.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62692040801001207141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4469
#12
22.10.2
21.621.8
Auto6.3
Teleop13.9
End2.0
blue by 4.4
2930
#10
26.50.5
27.026.5
Auto13.1
Teleop12.5
End0.9
Second
4682
#18
20.00.2
19.519.7
Auto9.5
Teleop9.9
End0.6
red by 2.5
17.50.5
18.017.5
Auto7.1
Teleop9.3
End1.1
Third
8032
#24
16.50.2
16.016.2
Auto6.2
Teleop8.0
End2.3
red by 0.5
5937
#15
16.00.5
16.416.0
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End2.7