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Red89
291035.2
446924.1
204627.8
Blue17
59378.1
491513.3
29036.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136240501001502008917

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.21.4
48.146.7
Auto12.0
Teleop22.2
End1.0
red by 21.9
4915
#24
13.31.4
16.214.7
Auto4.8
Teleop6.7
End1.9
Second
27.81.4
36.234.8
Auto6.9
Teleop19.3
End1.7
red by 19.7
5937
#28
8.11.4
13.412.0
Auto4.0
Teleop2.9
End1.2
Third
24.11.4
25.424.1
Auto7.7
Teleop13.0
End3.4
red by 17.9
2903
#23
6.11.4
4.93.4
Auto3.1
Teleop1.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
45%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed