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Red46
37864.0
292620.2
582720.6
Blue57
902318.3
945017.5
445019.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37840501001504657

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5827
#10
20.60.3
16.016.3
Auto8.8
Teleop10.0
End1.8
red by 1.2
4450
#11
19.40.9
26.425.4
Auto4.5
Teleop14.3
End0.6
Second
2926
#16
20.20.3
20.020.3
Auto8.7
Teleop10.8
End0.6
red by 1.9
9023
#19
18.30.9
28.727.8
Auto8.7
Teleop9.0
End0.5
Third
3786
#31
4.00.3
3.53.8
Auto3.4
Teleop0.4
End0.2
blue by 13.5
17.50.9
15.914.9
Auto10.0
Teleop6.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed50%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed