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Red43
558811.4
903618.7
59378.1
Blue35
252217.9
63507.7
35881.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47280204060801001201401604335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9036
#21
18.70.2
18.418.5
Auto8.2
Teleop8.3
End2.2
red by 0.8
2522
#14
17.90.4
20.120.5
Auto10.2
Teleop6.0
End1.7
Second
5588
#17
11.40.2
10.310.5
Auto7.1
Teleop2.7
End1.6
red by 3.7
6350
#22
7.70.4
8.28.6
Auto2.9
Teleop3.8
End0.9
Third
5937
#28
8.10.2
11.811.9
Auto4.0
Teleop2.9
End1.2
red by 6.4
3588
#29
1.80.4
-0.9-0.5
Auto2.4
Teleop-1.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed