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Red25
445019.4
491513.3
241210.0
Blue28
252217.9
29036.1
94815.7
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions824801001502002528

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4450
#11
19.43.4
33.029.6
Auto4.5
Teleop14.3
End0.6
red by 1.5
2522
#14
17.91.3
24.723.4
Auto10.2
Teleop6.0
End1.7
Second
4915
#24
13.33.4
19.716.3
Auto4.8
Teleop6.7
End1.9
blue by 2.4
948
#7
15.71.3
14.413.1
Auto10.7
Teleop4.7
End0.3
Third
2412
#26
10.03.4
17.814.4
Auto5.4
Teleop5.1
End-0.5
red by 3.9
2903
#23
6.11.3
8.26.9
Auto3.1
Teleop1.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed