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Red36
491513.3
198315.6
298011.8
Blue80
451211.8
945017.5
292620.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45510204060803680

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1983
#32
15.60.7
18.017.3
Auto7.2
Teleop6.6
End1.7
blue by 4.6
2926
#16
20.20.3
20.020.3
Auto8.7
Teleop10.8
End0.6
Second
4915
#24
13.30.7
13.312.5
Auto4.8
Teleop6.7
End1.9
blue by 4.2
17.50.3
15.615.9
Auto10.0
Teleop6.0
End1.5
Third
2980
#12
11.80.7
10.59.8
Auto4.1
Teleop4.8
End2.9
blue by 0.1
4512
#18
11.80.3
9.910.2
Auto3.7
Teleop7.8
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed