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Red47
558811.4
902318.3
82486.7
Blue54
291035.2
568313.1
35881.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions476102040801004754

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9023
#19
18.30.2
27.227.0
Auto8.7
Teleop9.0
End0.5
blue by 17.0
35.20.0
43.143.1
Auto12.0
Teleop22.2
End1.0
Second
5588
#17
11.40.2
10.510.3
Auto7.1
Teleop2.7
End1.6
blue by 1.7
5683
#13
13.10.0
11.011.0
Auto6.7
Teleop5.1
End1.3
Third
8248
#30
6.70.2
6.66.4
Auto4.3
Teleop1.5
End0.9
red by 4.9
3588
#29
1.80.0
-0.5-0.5
Auto2.4
Teleop-1.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed