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Red17
292620.2
32197.5
241210.0
Blue55
198315.6
291035.2
63507.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4580020601001201401601755

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2926
#16
20.21.9
22.720.8
Auto8.7
Teleop10.8
End0.6
blue by 15.1
35.21.6
40.939.3
Auto12.0
Teleop22.2
End1.0
Second
2412
#26
10.01.9
13.211.4
Auto5.4
Teleop5.1
End-0.5
blue by 5.5
1983
#32
15.61.6
16.514.9
Auto7.2
Teleop6.6
End1.7
Third
3219
#25
7.51.9
9.07.1
Auto3.5
Teleop3.2
End0.9
blue by 0.2
6350
#22
7.71.6
10.99.4
Auto2.9
Teleop3.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsMissed53%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed