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Red71
32197.5
131829.4
36025.2
Blue52
252217.9
298011.8
292620.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8056020401001201407152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.40.5
32.131.5
Auto12.7
Teleop12.4
End4.3
red by 9.2
2926
#16
20.20.4
20.820.4
Auto8.7
Teleop10.8
End0.6
Second
360
#4
25.20.5
29.929.4
Auto9.8
Teleop12.3
End3.0
red by 7.2
2522
#14
17.90.4
21.320.9
Auto10.2
Teleop6.0
End1.7
Third
3219
#25
7.50.5
7.16.6
Auto3.5
Teleop3.2
End0.9
blue by 4.3
2980
#12
11.80.4
11.511.1
Auto4.1
Teleop4.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsMissed47%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
60%Ensemble oddsEarned19%Ensemble oddsMissed