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Red49
36025.2
252217.9
241210.0
Blue78
291035.2
582720.6
451211.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6377020401001204978

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#4
25.20.8
29.028.2
Auto9.8
Teleop12.3
End3.0
blue by 10.1
35.20.1
37.237.2
Auto12.0
Teleop22.2
End1.0
Second
2522
#14
17.90.8
20.019.2
Auto10.2
Teleop6.0
End1.7
blue by 2.7
5827
#10
20.60.1
18.919.0
Auto8.8
Teleop10.0
End1.8
Third
2412
#26
10.00.8
9.99.1
Auto5.4
Teleop5.1
End-0.5
blue by 1.8
4512
#18
11.80.1
11.811.9
Auto3.7
Teleop7.8
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsEarned59%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
43%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed