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Red45
59378.1
204627.8
291035.2
Blue70
252217.9
446924.1
945017.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8663020401001201401604570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.20.7
36.535.8
Auto12.0
Teleop22.2
End1.0
red by 11.2
24.10.1
24.124.0
Auto7.7
Teleop13.0
End3.4
Second
27.80.7
29.128.4
Auto6.9
Teleop19.3
End1.7
red by 9.9
2522
#14
17.90.1
18.017.9
Auto10.2
Teleop6.0
End1.7
Third
5937
#28
8.10.7
9.48.7
Auto4.0
Teleop2.9
End1.2
blue by 9.4
17.50.1
17.617.5
Auto10.0
Teleop6.0
End1.5