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Red46
59378.1
204627.8
291035.2
Blue63
198315.6
298011.8
418019.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8646020601001201401604663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.20.6
35.835.2
Auto12.0
Teleop22.2
End1.0
red by 15.9
4180
#15
19.30.3
19.119.4
Auto9.5
Teleop8.2
End1.6
Second
27.80.6
28.427.8
Auto6.9
Teleop19.3
End1.7
red by 12.3
1983
#32
15.60.3
15.415.7
Auto7.2
Teleop6.6
End1.7
Third
5937
#28
8.10.6
8.78.1
Auto4.0
Teleop2.9
End1.2
blue by 3.6
2980
#12
11.80.3
11.511.8
Auto4.1
Teleop4.8
End2.9