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Red91
944226.4
368114.9
204637.9
Blue39
357417.6
307034.7
32689.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79502040601001209139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.90.9
34.435.3
Auto12.8
Teleop22.0
End3.1
red by 3.2
34.70.7
28.027.3
Auto14.5
Teleop17.6
End2.6
Second
9442
#11
26.40.9
20.020.9
Auto10.0
Teleop15.8
End0.6
red by 8.8
3574
#28
17.60.6
14.313.6
Auto7.3
Teleop10.0
End0.3
Third
14.90.9
13.314.2
Auto7.5
Teleop4.5
End3.0
red by 5.5
3268
#33
9.40.6
6.35.6
Auto3.6
Teleop3.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
75%Melody oddsEarned28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
68%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed