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Red48
94821.9
944226.4
824814.2
Blue33
32689.4
198325.4
410411.5
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68402060801001204833

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9442
#11
26.40.7
21.620.9
Auto10.0
Teleop15.8
End0.6
red by 0.9
1983
#21
25.40.5
23.523.1
Auto10.5
Teleop13.0
End1.9
Second
948
#17
21.90.7
23.723.0
Auto6.1
Teleop15.1
End0.7
red by 10.5
4104
#19
11.50.5
11.310.8
Auto4.6
Teleop6.4
End0.5
Third
8248
#30
14.20.7
13.112.4
Auto4.6
Teleop8.0
End1.5
red by 4.8
3268
#33
9.40.5
5.14.7
Auto3.6
Teleop3.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed