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Red44
159524.7
417318.0
746120.7
Blue81
491814.1
307034.7
498020.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5468204060801001204481

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1595
#13
24.70.5
18.618.1
Auto4.6
Teleop17.5
End2.6
blue by 9.9
34.71.4
30.231.6
Auto14.5
Teleop17.6
End2.6
Second
7461
#26
20.70.5
18.217.8
Auto6.7
Teleop13.5
End0.5
red by 0.7
4980
#16
20.01.4
19.120.5
Auto6.0
Teleop11.4
End2.6
Third
4173
#12
18.00.5
14.013.5
Auto6.8
Teleop10.9
End0.2
red by 3.8
4918
#23
14.11.4
10.411.8
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsEarned51%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed30%Ensemble oddsMissed