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Red87
292820.3
159524.7
94821.9
Blue72
746120.7
418024.8
198325.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65713040506080901001108772

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1595
#13
24.71.5
18.119.6
Auto4.6
Teleop17.5
End2.6
blue by 0.7
1983
#21
25.40.6
23.123.6
Auto10.5
Teleop13.0
End1.9
Second
948
#17
21.91.5
23.024.5
Auto6.1
Teleop15.1
End0.7
blue by 2.8
4180
#18
24.80.6
22.623.2
Auto8.7
Teleop12.9
End3.1
Third
2928
#24
20.31.5
18.119.7
Auto5.4
Teleop13.0
End1.9
blue by 0.4
7461
#26
20.70.6
17.818.3
Auto6.7
Teleop13.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsEarned64%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsMissed