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Red64
368114.9
903626.9
824814.2
Blue72
944226.4
417318.0
945014.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59512040801006472

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.90.6
24.525.1
Auto7.2
Teleop16.7
End3.0
red by 0.5
9442
#11
26.41.5
22.123.6
Auto10.0
Teleop15.8
End0.6
Second
14.90.6
16.016.6
Auto7.5
Teleop4.5
End3.0
blue by 3.0
4173
#12
18.01.5
13.114.6
Auto6.8
Teleop10.9
End0.2
Third
8248
#30
14.20.6
12.012.6
Auto4.6
Teleop8.0
End1.5
blue by 0.3
9450
#32
14.41.5
11.613.1
Auto3.1
Teleop8.2
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsEarned59%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
53%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed