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Red86
204637.9
198325.4
241216.7
Blue48
413116.8
746120.7
357417.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions855520401001208648

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.90.5
35.636.1
Auto12.8
Teleop22.0
End3.1
red by 17.2
7461
#26
20.70.3
18.318.0
Auto6.7
Teleop13.5
End0.5
Second
1983
#21
25.40.5
23.624.2
Auto10.5
Teleop13.0
End1.9
red by 7.8
3574
#28
17.60.3
16.916.6
Auto7.3
Teleop10.0
End0.3
Third
2412
#29
16.70.5
14.214.7
Auto7.3
Teleop9.1
End0.3
blue by 0.1
4131
#22
16.80.3
17.917.5
Auto8.2
Teleop7.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsEarned60%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed