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Red80
498020.0
129432.8
418024.8
Blue87
48825.1
491814.1
94821.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions796420401001201408087

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.80.4
25.726.0
Auto11.2
Teleop21.4
End0.2
red by 7.7
488
#14
25.11.8
22.224.0
Auto8.3
Teleop15.9
End0.9
Second
4180
#18
24.80.4
23.223.5
Auto8.7
Teleop12.9
End3.1
red by 2.8
948
#17
21.91.8
24.526.4
Auto6.1
Teleop15.1
End0.7
Third
4980
#16
20.00.4
20.821.1
Auto6.0
Teleop11.4
End2.6
red by 5.8
4918
#23
14.11.8
12.814.6
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
90%Melody oddsEarned54%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed