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Red31
292820.3
241216.7
357417.6
Blue62
944226.4
903626.9
32689.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions546240801003162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2928
#24
20.31.2
18.417.1
Auto5.4
Teleop13.0
End1.9
blue by 6.6
26.90.5
25.125.6
Auto7.2
Teleop16.7
End3.0
Second
3574
#28
17.61.2
16.615.4
Auto7.3
Teleop10.0
End0.3
blue by 8.8
9442
#11
26.40.5
23.624.1
Auto10.0
Teleop15.8
End0.6
Third
2412
#29
16.71.2
14.713.5
Auto7.3
Teleop9.1
End0.3
red by 7.3
3268
#33
9.40.5
6.16.6
Auto3.6
Teleop3.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsMissed53%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed